Economic recap The NZ economy managed to dodge a formal recession (2 consecutive drops in GDP) in the 2nd quarter of 2022 with a lift in GDP following negative GDP in the 1st quarter. While the economy may not be in a formal recession there remain a number of challenges affecting NZ businesses from issues sourcing product to increasing inflation, interest rates and decreasing domestic spending as New Zealanders look to travel for the first time in 2 years. Businesses continue to have trouble to find the necessary staff with low unemployment levels continuing. Of note is the speedily decreasing value of the NZD when compared with other currencies. This will make importing goods and services more expensive for businesses…

It’s important to address disputed debt as soon as possible. This will more likely lead to a positive outcome and enable you to rescue your business relationship. You cannot recover a debt via a statutory demand if the debt is disputed. And, of course, you need cash to continue to operate, so it’s important to find a solution quickly. Below, we outline the three steps to settling disputed debt: FIRST: PREVENTING DEBT DISPUTES WITH STRONG IN-HOUSE CREDIT CONTROL AND TERMS OF TRADE Of course, the best way to minimise disputed debt is to avoid the situation where disputes can arise in the first place. Many disputes can be avoided by good record keeping. Clear terms of trade and customer credit…

Economic recap We make our way through another winter month where we finally saw the NZ boarder fully re-open for the first time since 2020, this has helped our net migration, but levels remain lower that pre pandemic. We also saw our first cruise ship landed back in the Auckland CBD since 2020 making news stories across the country. There remain a number of adverse factors affecting businesses starting with a weakening NZ dollar, staff shortages continuing, the seasonal downturn in industries during the winter months coupled with the sports related downturn resulting from the All Blacks continued losing and patch performances. Coupled with overseas influences of China’s covid policies affecting supply chains along with the ongoing war in Ukraine…

Economic recap International and domestic market factors continue to affect the economy and have and effect on businesses in New Zealand. Supply shortages, increasing costs of living and inflation continue to put pressure on businesses margins, this coupled with an inability to find staff to fill empty rolls is causing a number of issues for businesses trying to retain staff or grow. Unsurprisingly the July 2022 OCR announcement saw the Reserve Bank lift the Official Cash Rate a further 50 basis points as indicated in their earlier announcements. The OCR lifts are expected to continue for the remainder of the year and into next year as they use what tools they have available to try and tackle rising inflation. In…

Economic recap Another month with insolvency appointment figures on a downward trend while economic factors begin to squeeze businesses. Those factors affecting the economy are little changed from prior month updates including; InflationIncreasing Costs of Living (now called a crisis) Increasing Financing Costs Falling House Prices and Sales Volumes across NZ Supply Chain Issues (now increasing due to China zero Covid policies) Increasing Wages Low Unemployment Making Finding Staff Difficult Tightening Margins Looking at the Xero SME index graph, it shows April 2022 up by 20 points on previous months and on an upswing. However, it does not appear to be reflected in business confidence which has been falling as several of the economic factors, if not all, continue to…

Economic recap The March 2022 insolvency figures continue to be below past years. For the wider economy we saw inflation figures for the year to date at 6.9%. Slightly under what was expected from economists as a group but still well above the levels where they should be. The high inflation figures have led to an expected response from the Reserve Bank lifting Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points in an effort to head off rising inflation. From discussions with business owner on the coal face the cost of rising inflation, OCR raises, the rise in the minimum wage, increased sick days and introduction of new public holidays (Matariki) are a perfect storm of expenses that are unable…

Economic recap Recent lockdown measures in China are once again causing delays at their ports, just as the shipping and freight delays looked to be easing. This will continue to keep freight prices high and flow through to the end consumer and businesses. With a cooling Housing sector delays and cost increases will continue to keep the pressure on developers in the building industry, where building materials for the large number of building consents issued continues to constrain supply. How these shortages and labour shortages are managed by developers and building companies will continue to be of interest; they can do little but watch on as their margins continue to whittle away on their ongoing projects. If you have been…

With the availability of government subsidies becoming harder to obtain the Inland Revenue Department (IRD) and Ministry of Social Development (MSD) have begun the process of reviewing a business’ entitlement to the various covid subsidies they had received. It was well publicised at the time that both the wage subsidy and resurgence support payment scheme were “high trust” models, with emphasis placed on getting the funds out to business’ in need quickly, rather than a proper review of the evidence upfront. Initially the “audits” of the wage subsidy scheme by the MSD were more of a check box exercise, where they accepted verbal confirmations from business owners rather than conducting a proper review. This subsequently resulted in the Auditor General…

Economic recap With inflation figures for the final quarter of 2021 coming in at 6%, it was of no surprise that the OCR would be getting a lift from the Reserve Bank, the question was how much? Last month we mentioned the possibility of a 50-basis point lift with a few commentators backing this size lift. We ended up seeing a 25-point lift with the Reserve Bank using strong language that the next OCR review would likely see the rate lift 50 basis points. The consensus seems to be that with the invasion of Ukraine, we will see inflation continue its upward trend for the year. Adding to the trend are the food cost increases and the possibility petrol prices…

Yearly recap It would be generous to say 2021 ended with a bang for appointments in the insolvency sector, it was more of a dull fizzle. Personal and corporate insolvency figures continued the downward trend, they have been following in the second half of the year. Winding up applications on the other hand, fell off a cliff, racking up 4 total applications for the whole country in the month of December. A considerable drop from the years high point of 83 in June. With the bulk of the country moving to the Orange Alert Level in the final days of the year (excluding northland) and the Auckland border closure being lifted in the middle of the month, it was somewhat…

Economic Rundown While it feels like we have powered through the last quarter of this year, unbelievably it is already mid-December, and we are one week out from Christmas. Everyone is in a flurry of busyness trying to clear their desks before the holiday period and we enter the seasonal slowdown. Due to the late move in the alert level system and reopening of hospitality venues, especially in Auckland, a lot of the usual Christmas functions from clients, associations and work do’s have been cancelled. Due in part to the uncertainty of the time and the months of planning required. Businesses will no doubt be feeling the hurt having missed out on a traditionally busy time of year for them.…

Economic Rundown As we pass the 100-day mark of Auckland’s lockdown businesses unable to trade at 100% capacity continue to struggle due to the alert level restrictions in place. The country was given the target of 90% fully vaccinated to move into the traffic light system, this has now been pulled forward for all regions from the start of December. The percentage of people vaccinated will have some influence at what traffic light setting the regions enter the new system at. For Auckland this can only mean a drop in restrictions as the highest vaccinated region however for some small regions with lower vaccinated levels they will likely see tighter restrictions in their region. Until then neighbouring regions phaze in…